Space Weather
HPC Specialists Sergei Maurits and Anton Kulchitsky contribute into Space Physics research efforts at the ARSC. The focus is on maintaining the Space Weather portal at http://spaceweather.arsc.edu, where users can check the latest results from continuously running UAF EPPIM (locally developed Eulerian Parallel Polar Ionosphere Model), as well as the current geomagnetic activity and solar wind indices from the NOAA Space Prediction Center (SPC). The ionospheric modeling is performed with locally developed model UAF EPPIM, driven by automatically updated current inputs from NOAA SPC. These inputs include parameters of the upstream solar wind, thus facilitating short-term (2-3 hours) ionospheric forecasts with advance defined by delay of the solar wind propagation toward the Earth.
Comparisons of the modeled ionospheric parameters with the data from NOAA ionosonde real-time network are continuously available at the portal. These comparisons help to monitor the model performance and contribute into the model-validating database of the comparisons. Solar wind propagation model, newly developed by Anton Kulchotsky, helps to improve the forecasting scheme by adjusting the propagation times and, thus, more precise determination of the solar wind disturbances arrival and their immediate influence on the polar and adjacent sub-polar ionosphere. The solar wind propagation model allows for better understanding of the solar wind structures at 1AU and can be used with various space weather forecasting tools.
The EPPIM model is capable to generate 3-D time-dependent distribution of ionospheric parameters with high-resolution, realistically representing electron density gradients. Thus, its output is applicable for various radio-wave propagation tasks. Several projects in this field were completed recently.
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